# basic concepts of probability

instructions: (There are 20 questions to be answered for Module 7)
The following 6 questions (Q1 to Q6) are based on the following summarized data below:
Given the upcoming NBA draft, there are 100 players available:
College Experience (CE) No College Experience (NCE)
Point Guard (PG) 14 2
Shooting Guard (SG) 22 4
Center (C) 11 6
Small Forward (SF) 19 1
Power Forward (PF) 15 6
Find the following probabilities:
Q1: p(PF)
Q2: p(C and NCE)
Q3: p(CE)
Q4: p(SF/CE)
Q5: p(not SG)
Q6: p(CE/PF)
The following 3 questions (Q7 to Q9) are based on the following information:
You have a kennel that contains all Labrador Retrievers. The kennel has 3 black labs, 5 yellow
labs, and 2 chocolate labs.
Find the following probabilities:
Q7: What’s the probability that you randomly select a black lab, don’t put the lab back, then
draw another black lab, don’t put the lab back, and then draw another black lab?
Q8: What’s the probability that you draw a yellow or chocolate lab on the first draw, replace
the dog, and then draw a black lab?
Q9: What’s the probability that you draw a yellow lab on the first draw, don’t put the lab
back, and then draw either a yellow or chocolate lab on the second draw?
The following 3 questions (Q10 to Q12) are based on the following information:
John has the phone numbers of many young ladies. Some of these young ladies are
blonde and others are brunettes. In addition, John knows that some are single while others have
boyfriends. The exact breakdown is as follows:
Blonde Brunette
Single 8 20
Taken 12 10
Find the following probabilities:
Q10: What is the probability of selecting someone who is taken, given that they are blonde?
Q11: What is the probability of selecting a single brunette?
Q12: What is the probability of selecting someone who is brunette, given that they are taken?
Q13: A coin is tossed four times. Which of the following sequences of heads (H) and tails(T) is
more likely?
A. HTHT
B. HHHT
C. THHH
D. TTTT
E. all are equally likely
F. none of the above
Q14: If an event can occur once out of every 10 times, it has the probability value of
A. 0.10
B. 0.20
C. 0.50
D. none of the above three answers are correct
Q15: Probabilities are expressed with what values?
A. negative infinity to positive infinity
B. 0.00 to positive infinity
C. -1.00 to +1.00
D. 0.00 to +1.00
The following 5 questions (Q16 to Q20) are either “True” or “False”
Q16: The ‘Subjective View’ uses an analysis of possible outcomes to define probability
Q17: ‘Mutually Exclusive Events’ is when the occurrence of one event has no effect on the
probability of occurrence of the other.
Q18: ‘Gambler’s Fallacy’ is the incorrect belief that the probability of a particular event
changes after a series of the event has taken place.
Q19: The probability of randomly guessing at the first three multiple choice questions on an
exam, each of which has four possible answers, is 0.015625.
Q20: Flipping a coin repeatedly is a series of “Independent Events

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