Read Wilson, et al., Chapters 7 and 8; and the survey packet I have posted on D2L under
Materials-Content-Articles. Then compose a paper of about four pages in which you address the
following questions:
1. Go to (see following pages for screen shots), then:
Set CL for 95% and CI for 4.0%, and enter these population values, which are the actual or
estimated turnouts for the 2016 general election:
Lake Marshall Twp. 330 _____ 7 th Cong. District 339,286 _____
Marshall Ward One 1,783 _____ Minnesota 2,945,233 _____
City of Marshall 5,919 _____ United States 137,125,484 _____
Lyon County 12,310 _____
After reporting the sample size needed for each area, tell me what conclusions you can draw
about the relationship between populations and sample sizes, assuming a random sample has
been achieved. In what ways does this exercise help you understand how accurate measures of
public opinion are possible, even for the entire country?
2. Which political and demographic factors reported in the survey explain why Joe Biden
enjoys an eight-point lead? What signs of hope does it suggest for Donald Trump? Are there
points from the Wilson text which help explain these patterns?
3. Given the details provided in the survey packet, how much confidence should we have in the
results of this survey?
Use ideas from the Wilson text and the survey packet as appropriate but be sure to cite the page
number for any direct quote you use (e.g., Wilson, p. 226) directly after that quotation.
This assignment is worth ten points

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